At Least One of the Recent Intel Roadmap Rumors Is Likely Wrong

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A new Intel roadmap has leaked, predicting a start for a 10nm Intel “Alder Lake” as quickly as late 2020. Ordinarily, when I write up a rumor, it is due to the fact I have by now thought it about and determined it has a respectable probability of remaining true. In this circumstance, I’m performing a little something a minimal unique. I want to talk about this rumor in conjunction with several others that have surfaced about the final six months.

The new rumor, in accordance to THG, surfaced on Sina Weibo and is made up of two slides:

This image is comparable to a person Intel has by now introduced, but the additional Chinese textual content is new.

These are the 10nm merchandise Intel is supposedly launching in 2020, even though Snow Ridge has by now debuted.

Here’s how Tom’s Components describes the contents of the first slide: “the slide promises improved yields, substantial boost in generation potential and a collection of 10nm merchandise launching in 2020. As for the 7nm lineup, the leak states the major solution will land in 2021, while the complete solution portfolio can be envisioned in 2022. The facts also implies effectiveness enhancements each individual 12 months.” For comparison, here’s the primary version of that slide that Intel introduced to the community:

Intel-Presentation-10nm

The THG description of this slide could suggest that it has been up to date given that we noticed it back in 2019, which is definitely a little something providers from time to time do — or that a person started from a acknowledged Intel slide to give their creation a veneer of authenticity and then developed fake articles to overwrite what had earlier been introduced.

Other Latest Rumors

In the earlier six months, major Intel roadmap rumors have included the subsequent:

  • Intel has canceled all 10nm desktop CPUs. Desktop remains on 14nm as a result of 2021.
  • Intel will introduce a new 14nm desktop CPU architecture named Rocket Lake in late 2020, with backported 10nm options.
  • Intel will start 10nm desktop Alder Lake in an 8+8 massive.Minor configuration as an forthcoming observe-up to LGA 1200 CPUs. Implied 2021 start date.

Now, let us increase in a number of matters that we basically can say for particular. We know that Intel has a observe-up architecture to Ice Lake, dubbed Tiger Lake, coming on 10nm. We know that following Ice Lake’s Sunny Cove will come Willow Cove (assumed for Tiger Lake) and then Golden Cove. Alder Lake could be centered on either Willow or Golden in idea and use very low-electricity Atom cores (Tremont or Gracemont) for the “little” chips.

If the first situation is true, the other two naturally are not. If the 2nd situation (Intel backporting 10nm options) is true, the 3rd most likely is not. Why would Intel start Rocket Lake following having the monumental difficulty to backport its abilities, only to switch all around and start a “true” 10nm desktop CPU at specifically the exact time? It wouldn’t.

Intel explained to the press at its 2018 Technologies Working day that it had by now backported particular AVX-512 options to 14nm, but it in no way claimed this was the only time it would ever do so. It also has claimed very little about 10nm desktop CPUs — not final drop, not this spring. When you glance at Intel’s presentations, the discussions of 10nm that mention platforms talk about cellular and server. Does this signify Intel is not launching 10nm desktop chips? No. But it means Intel is not conversing about launching desktop 10nm chips, at least not but, and it typically would be by now. And but, we also know Intel lately canceled most of Cooper Lake, which implies the firm is seeing superior 10nm CPU yields than envisioned — specifically as this slide reportedly states.

Just after Broadwell, Intel claimed it wouldn’t skip a system with a node again, but that was several CEOs back and a unique set of situations. When you glance at these a few rumors, I’d argue we have the most help for #1 and #2. These rumors also do not contradict each and every other. This 3rd rumor refers to Intel’s Snow Ridge 5G foundation station on the first slide, a device that’s by now introduced, and it helps make some substantial claims all around upcoming Intel merchandise. It is feasible that the slide is authentic, but was developed at an before level in time when Intel had a unique plan of what its roadmap would glance like. At times, the motive rumors show up to be fake is due to the fact they have been true when the leaks occurred, but have been later on canceled.

Some of you might don’t forget rumors that AMD would develop a tremendous-APU with a superior-clocked Piledriver-derived CPU and a vast desktop GPU for graphics, all linked to a unified pool of HBM, in a socket able of withstanding the electricity draw. Sources within AMD confirmed that this was a real solution the firm was thinking about developing, but in the end abandoned. The rumors about Tarnhelm weren’t fake they just didn’t occur true. This rumor could surely even now be true, but given that it contradicts before rumors, we know that some of the facts in circulation about Intel’s forthcoming designs is incorrect. Salt appropriately.

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